Trump’s Ultimatum to India and UAE: Drop Iran or Pay 25%

President Donald Trump has issued a strict ultimatum to India and the United Arab Emirates: drop your trade with Iran or pay a 25% tariff on exports to the U.S. This direct challenge targets two of Iran’s most important trading partners. The President’s order, delivered via social media, is “effective immediately” and allows for no exceptions. It places New Delhi and Abu Dhabi in a difficult position, forced to choose between their regional neighbor and their most important global partner.
The context is the worsening crisis in Iran. The regime is cracking down on protesters, killing hundreds and arresting thousands. The internet blackout and the flight of French diplomats indicate a situation spiraling out of control. Trump supports the opposition and is using the tariffs to strip the regime of revenue.
China, also targeted, has vowed to fight back. But for India and the UAE, which have closer security ties with the U.S., the calculation is different. They must balance their energy needs with their strategic relationship with Washington. The 25% tariff is a high price to pay for maintaining ties with a pariah state.
The White House is backing the economic threat with military ones. Airstrikes are possible, officials say. The regime is privately reaching out to the U.S., showing signs of weakness. Trump is exploiting this by increasing the pressure.
As the Supreme Court looks at the legality of the tariffs, the diplomatic fallout is spreading. Trump’s ultimatum is a test of loyalty and economic power. It forces countries to align their foreign policy with Washington or face the consequences.